# Bender Wins Sports Betting (Ryan Bender) (@benderwins) on threads

- id: koinon:creator:threads_benderwins
- url: https://koinonlink.com/kol/threads/benderwins
- schema_version: 1.4

## Identity
- platform: threads
- handle: benderwins
- platform_url: https://www.threads.net/@benderwins
- website: http://benderwins.com/
- entity_type: creator
- person_id: Cross-platform identity not resolved for this creator.

## Reach
- followers: 1450
- posts_observed: 1
- verified: true
- size_tier: nano

## Engagement
- status: peak_post_only
- peak_post_engagement_rate: 0.00207
- best_post_interactions: 3
- measurement_source: threads_post_likes
- measurement_formula: likes on one post (Threads exposes no reply or repost count on this path)
- comparable_pool: peak_interactions
- status_note: We have only the single best observed post, so no mean exists. peak_post_engagement_rate is an UPPER BOUND, systematically higher than an average — never compare it against an average rate.
- unit_note: engagement_rate and peak_post_engagement_rate are ratios (0-1); avg_interactions_per_post and best_post_interactions are absolute counts. Read status before reading any number: a null rate has several different causes and status says which one applies here.

## Content
- category: gaming
- subcategory: igaming
- category_confidence: 0.9
- category_source: derived_from_recent_content
- topics: MLB free picks, sports betting tips, Thundersticks plays, betting strategies, free betting content

## Audience (inferred)
- status: present
- description: Sports bettors seeking free MLB and baseball betting picks, mainly recreational or small-stakes gamblers
- roles: consumer
- seniority: consumer
- pain_points: Losing money on unreliable betting tips, Finding consistent free picks with claimed high win rates, Managing bankroll and unit sizing in sports betting, Staying updated on daily MLB and CFL games
- posts_analysed: 8
- confidence: 0.4

## Commercial (inferred)
- audience_buyer_fit: 0.9
- promotion_intent: 0.9
- open_to_collaboration: false
- contact: Koinon does not publish creator contact details.

## Quality signals
- authenticity_score: 51
- authenticity_basis: engagement_observed
- credibility_score: 51
- flagged_for_review: false
- koinon_bd_grade: B — measures Koinon partner-outreach fit, not creator quality
- interpretation: Signals for triage, not verdicts. A flag means the profile is worth a manual check.

## Evidence
- [threads_benderwins#2cc5ac18] Daily Free Sports Betting Picks #sports #sportsbetting #mlb #baseball #freepicks (https://www.threads.com/@benderwins/post/DaGQe0LEZ_e)
- [threads_benderwins#05fd27c3] Boom! #sports #sportsbetting #freepicks #mlb #baseball
- [threads_benderwins#7157e3de] Free picks over 70% the last 11 months! Another mlb free pick today #sports #sportsbetting #sportsbet #betting #mlb
- [threads_benderwins#d14f116c] Just follow the plan. Nothing more, nothing less.
- [threads_benderwins#4f10bad5] 3 unit Thundersticks play to start off August. I have a free mlb play for you guys today. #mlb #sports #sportsbetting #freepicks #freepick
- [threads_benderwins#68f9afa9] Trade you money for time and knowledge #sports #sportsbetting #knowledge #time #money
- [threads_benderwins#0d7fd19c] If you see me out and about, come talk to me! August is just around the corner and that means Thundersticks is here too!! #cocktails #drinks #mlb #cfl #baseball
- [threads_benderwins#50b43872] Choose wisely my friends.

## Provenance
Every inferred field below carries how it was produced. Facts stay facts; inferences stay inferences.

- audience.description: source_type=ai_inferred, confidence=0.4, freshness_days=78, method=llm_persona_from_recent_content
- audience.roles: source_type=ai_inferred, confidence=0.4, freshness_days=78, method=llm_persona_from_recent_content
- audience.seniority: source_type=ai_inferred, confidence=0.4, freshness_days=78, method=llm_persona_from_recent_content
- commercial.audience_buyer_fit: source_type=ai_inferred, confidence=0.6, freshness_days=78, method=llm_scorer — Relative signal within Koinon indexing, not a market-wide score.
- commercial.promotion_intent: source_type=ai_inferred, confidence=0.6, freshness_days=78, method=llm_scorer
- quality.anomaly_flags: source_type=heuristic, confidence=0.5, freshness_days=117, method=profile_snapshot_and_engagement_ratio_heuristic — Means "worth a manual check", NOT confirmed fraud. Flags can be wrong and are not a verdict about the person.
- quality.authenticity_score: source_type=heuristic, confidence=0.5, freshness_days=78, method=Profile-shape heuristic from a single snapshot (follower count, following ratio, account age, posting volume, verification), reduced for engagement red flags where post engagement was collected. Where only a follower count is available the score saturates at 58. — The input set differs by platform; do not compare this score across platforms.
- quality.koinon_bd_grade: source_type=ai_inferred, confidence=0.5, freshness_days=117, method=llm_partner_fit_classifier + fit_score >= 0.6 AND authenticity >= 60 => A; fit_score >= 0.4 AND authenticity >= 45 => B; else C. authenticity < 30 or a promotional-pattern flag => quarantine. — Koinon partner-outreach fit, not creator quality.
- reach.followers: source_type=observed, confidence=0.95, freshness_days=117, method=platform_profile

## Freshness
- profile_checked_days_ago: 117
- content_analysed_days_ago: 78
- audience_updated_days_ago: 78

## AI retrieval
- indexing_requests: 11
- user_triggered_requests: 0
- note: Being indexed in bulk is not the same as being retrieved to answer a question.

## This profile
- Claim or correct: https://koinonlink.com/claim?k=threads_benderwins
- Request removal: https://koinonlink.com/claim?k=threads_benderwins
- Terms: https://koinonlink.com/for-ai