# Ariston (@Ariston_Macro) on x

- id: koinon:creator:x_ariston_macro
- url: https://koinonlink.com/kol/x/Ariston_Macro
- schema_version: 1.4

## Identity
- platform: x
- handle: Ariston_Macro
- platform_url: https://twitter.com/Ariston_Macro
- country: China
- entity_type: creator
- person_id: Cross-platform identity not resolved for this creator.

## Reach
- followers: 13280
- following: 699
- posts_total: 1034
- posts_observed: 11
- posts_per_day: 1.576
- account_age_days: 656
- verified: true
- size_tier: koc

## Engagement
- status: peak_post_only
- peak_post_engagement_rate: 0.0113
- best_post_interactions: 150
- measurement_source: x_post_interactions
- measurement_formula: interactions on one post — likes, or likes + reposts + replies depending on the discovery path (the two are not distinguishable in the stored data)
- comparable_pool: peak_interactions
- status_note: We have only the single best observed post, so no mean exists. peak_post_engagement_rate is an UPPER BOUND, systematically higher than an average — never compare it against an average rate.
- unit_note: engagement_rate and peak_post_engagement_rate are ratios (0-1); avg_interactions_per_post and best_post_interactions are absolute counts. Read status before reading any number: a null rate has several different causes and status says which one applies here.

## Content
- category: finance
- subcategory: investing
- category_confidence: 0.9
- category_source: derived_from_recent_content
- topics: 全球宏观交易, 图表突破分析, 商品价格走势, 止损与仓位管理, 摆动交易策略
- bio: Global Macro Trader. Chartist. Best year: +1013%. Writes one of China’s largest FICC columns.

## Audience (inferred)
- status: present
- description: Global macro traders, chart analysts, and FICC/commodity traders
- roles: none
- seniority: practitioner
- pain_points: Identifying optimal entry points after key price breakouts, Setting stop-loss levels based on position targets, Analyzing price movements of specific commodities like chemicals, tantalum, and MLCCs, Balancing trend-following and risk management as a swing trader
- posts_analysed: 6
- confidence: 0.4

## Commercial (inferred)
- audience_buyer_fit: 0.3
- promotion_intent: 0.1
- open_to_collaboration: false
- contact: Koinon does not publish creator contact details.

## Quality signals
- authenticity_score: 78
- authenticity_basis: engagement_observed
- credibility_score: 78
- flagged_for_review: false
- koinon_bd_grade: C — measures Koinon partner-outreach fit, not creator quality
- interpretation: Signals for triage, not verdicts. A flag means the profile is worth a manual check.

## Evidence
- [x_ariston_macro#4bda3216] This is what happens when price breaks through a key level. https://t.co/AIqM7awR1J It broke out near the August 5 close and is up 40% since. Have a great weekend, everyone. #MINIMAX https://t.co/i3hiPMGbQY (https://twitter.com/Ariston_Macro/status/2025831264037863781)
- [x_ariston_macro#53e73683] diamond https://t.co/8v5W44NYuX
- [x_ariston_macro#99a90769] chemical https://t.co/nkSvwluwEM
- [x_ariston_macro#5d1b7d7e] tantalum https://t.co/cshkwKy8Vq
- [x_ariston_macro#3f23a584] mlcc https://t.co/BeJkvnTznS
- [x_ariston_macro#d311d033] My stop is at the red line. Your stop should align with the objective of your position. As a swing trader (a semi-retired, laid-back trend follower), my goal is to capture the right tail of the return distribution, not to scalp. I f a trend fails to fully develop, I am perfectly 

## Provenance
Every inferred field below carries how it was produced. Facts stay facts; inferences stay inferences.

- audience.description: source_type=ai_inferred, confidence=0.4, freshness_days=77, method=llm_persona_from_recent_content
- audience.roles: source_type=ai_inferred, confidence=0.4, freshness_days=77, method=llm_persona_from_recent_content
- audience.seniority: source_type=ai_inferred, confidence=0.4, freshness_days=77, method=llm_persona_from_recent_content
- commercial.audience_buyer_fit: source_type=ai_inferred, confidence=0.6, freshness_days=77, method=llm_scorer — Relative signal within Koinon indexing, not a market-wide score.
- commercial.promotion_intent: source_type=ai_inferred, confidence=0.6, freshness_days=77, method=llm_scorer
- quality.anomaly_flags: source_type=heuristic, confidence=0.5, freshness_days=108, method=profile_snapshot_and_engagement_ratio_heuristic — Means "worth a manual check", NOT confirmed fraud. Flags can be wrong and are not a verdict about the person.
- quality.authenticity_score: source_type=heuristic, confidence=0.5, freshness_days=77, method=Profile-shape heuristic from a single snapshot (follower count, following ratio, account age, posting volume, verification), reduced for engagement red flags where post engagement was collected. Where only a follower count is available the score saturates at 58. — The input set differs by platform; do not compare this score across platforms.
- quality.koinon_bd_grade: source_type=ai_inferred, confidence=0.5, freshness_days=108, method=llm_partner_fit_classifier + fit_score >= 0.6 AND authenticity >= 60 => A; fit_score >= 0.4 AND authenticity >= 45 => B; else C. authenticity < 30 or a promotional-pattern flag => quarantine. — Koinon partner-outreach fit, not creator quality.
- reach.followers: source_type=observed, confidence=0.95, freshness_days=108, method=platform_profile

## Freshness
- profile_checked_days_ago: 108
- content_analysed_days_ago: 77
- audience_updated_days_ago: 77

## AI retrieval
- indexing_requests: 10
- user_triggered_requests: 0
- note: Being indexed in bulk is not the same as being retrieved to answer a question.

## This profile
- Claim or correct: https://koinonlink.com/claim?k=x_ariston_macro
- Request removal: https://koinonlink.com/claim?k=x_ariston_macro
- Terms: https://koinonlink.com/for-ai