# michaellwy (@michael_lwy) on x

- id: koinon:creator:x_michael_lwy
- url: https://koinonlink.com/kol/x/michael_lwy
- schema_version: 1.4

## Identity
- platform: x
- handle: michael_lwy
- platform_url: https://twitter.com/michael_lwy
- website: https://michaellwy.substack.com/
- entity_type: creator
- person_id: Cross-platform identity not resolved for this creator.

## Reach
- followers: 6082
- following: 2666
- posts_total: 4605
- posts_observed: 5
- posts_per_day: 2.465
- account_age_days: 1868
- verified: true
- size_tier: nano

## Engagement
- status: peak_post_only
- peak_post_engagement_rate: 0.00214
- best_post_interactions: 13
- measurement_source: x_post_interactions
- measurement_formula: interactions on one post — likes, or likes + reposts + replies depending on the discovery path (the two are not distinguishable in the stored data)
- comparable_pool: peak_interactions
- status_note: We have only the single best observed post, so no mean exists. peak_post_engagement_rate is an UPPER BOUND, systematically higher than an average — never compare it against an average rate.
- unit_note: engagement_rate and peak_post_engagement_rate are ratios (0-1); avg_interactions_per_post and best_post_interactions are absolute counts. Read status before reading any number: a null rate has several different causes and status says which one applies here.

## Content
- category: finance
- subcategory: crypto
- category_confidence: 0.9
- category_source: derived_from_recent_content
- topics: prediction markets, crypto market observations, AI agents and tools, criticism of AI slop
- bio: building https://t.co/DDRpB63fGh | prev. @monad @cryptocom @theblockcrunch

## Audience (inferred)
- status: present
- description: Crypto traders and AI/tech enthusiasts who follow prediction markets, on-chain topics, and AI tooling discussions
- roles: none
- seniority: practitioner
- pain_points: unclear mechanics of crypto derivatives like funding rates, noise and low-quality AI-generated content, rapid shifts in AI infrastructure and crypto narratives
- posts_analysed: 19
- confidence: 0.6

## Commercial (inferred)
- audience_buyer_fit: 0.6
- promotion_intent: 0.5
- open_to_collaboration: false
- contact: Koinon does not publish creator contact details.

## Quality signals
- authenticity_score: 69
- authenticity_basis: engagement_observed
- credibility_score: 69
- flagged_for_review: false
- koinon_bd_grade: B — measures Koinon partner-outreach fit, not creator quality
- interpretation: Signals for triage, not verdicts. A flag means the profile is worth a manual check.

## Evidence
- [x_michael_lwy#87d17c23] dumb ques: why is perp funding rate paid every 8 hours. why isn’t the period shorter or longer? (https://twitter.com/michael_lwy/status/2050216788483584261)
- [x_michael_lwy#c2ce0211] how many wallets are left in 2026 https://t.co/q1U1Y7HEZJ
- [x_michael_lwy#6c4f1f79] sobering https://t.co/xDpfnmDMSG
- [x_michael_lwy#4aa46551] quietly tractable the shape of …. that stayed with me does not travel the category error load bearing
- [x_michael_lwy#7b81b755] hey prediction market builders, check out the updated website!
- [x_michael_lwy#3b930854] alright 2030 world cup final spain beats england 2-0.
- [x_michael_lwy#7401926a] who said the algo has changed? do you see my last tweet??
- [x_michael_lwy#44e283ce] this is venturing into dangerous territory https://t.co/wrSQ7Gy81W

## Provenance
Every inferred field below carries how it was produced. Facts stay facts; inferences stay inferences.

- audience.description: source_type=ai_inferred, confidence=0.6, freshness_days=76, method=llm_persona_from_recent_content
- audience.roles: source_type=ai_inferred, confidence=0.6, freshness_days=76, method=llm_persona_from_recent_content
- audience.seniority: source_type=ai_inferred, confidence=0.6, freshness_days=76, method=llm_persona_from_recent_content
- commercial.audience_buyer_fit: source_type=ai_inferred, confidence=0.6, freshness_days=76, method=llm_scorer — Relative signal within Koinon indexing, not a market-wide score.
- commercial.promotion_intent: source_type=ai_inferred, confidence=0.6, freshness_days=76, method=llm_scorer
- quality.anomaly_flags: source_type=heuristic, confidence=0.5, freshness_days=110, method=profile_snapshot_and_engagement_ratio_heuristic — Means "worth a manual check", NOT confirmed fraud. Flags can be wrong and are not a verdict about the person.
- quality.authenticity_score: source_type=heuristic, confidence=0.5, freshness_days=76, method=Profile-shape heuristic from a single snapshot (follower count, following ratio, account age, posting volume, verification), reduced for engagement red flags where post engagement was collected. Where only a follower count is available the score saturates at 58. — The input set differs by platform; do not compare this score across platforms.
- quality.koinon_bd_grade: source_type=ai_inferred, confidence=0.5, freshness_days=110, method=llm_partner_fit_classifier + fit_score >= 0.6 AND authenticity >= 60 => A; fit_score >= 0.4 AND authenticity >= 45 => B; else C. authenticity < 30 or a promotional-pattern flag => quarantine. — Koinon partner-outreach fit, not creator quality.
- reach.followers: source_type=observed, confidence=0.95, freshness_days=110, method=platform_profile

## Freshness
- profile_checked_days_ago: 110
- content_analysed_days_ago: 76
- audience_updated_days_ago: 76

## AI retrieval
- indexing_requests: 11
- user_triggered_requests: 0
- note: Being indexed in bulk is not the same as being retrieved to answer a question.

## This profile
- Claim or correct: https://koinonlink.com/claim?k=x_michael_lwy
- Request removal: https://koinonlink.com/claim?k=x_michael_lwy
- Terms: https://koinonlink.com/for-ai